Friday, January 20, 2012

ING's New Strategy: No Dividends (The Motley Fool)

ING Group (NYSE: ING - News) will not pay dividends and earnings will not be its first priority. Scary, I know, but don't panic. The bank plans to stick to this strategy till it accomplishes three things -- repay the government, fulfill Basel III norms, and complete the restructuring of its balance sheet. In ING CEO Jan Hommen's words, right now, boosting capital and liquidity are the bank's main priorities.

Let's try to understand ING's short-term strategy and its consequences.

Meet Basel III norms
Under the new Basel III regulations that took effect in 2012, ING will need to maintain a core tier 1 ratio of 10% in order to weather economic storms. Restrictions have been put on the number of risky investments as well. The need to raise a buffer will affect the bank's ability to utilize capital, generate returns, and improve margins.

Repay the government
During the 2008 crisis, ING received $12.8 billion in aid from the Dutch government. Though the bank has paid back a substantial portion of this debt, it still has another $3.8 billion remaining. It had earlier intended to repay the state by May this year, but those plans have been put on the back burner. Until ING manages to shore up its reserves, it won't be able to pay back the state. The bailout didn't come without riders.

One of the conditions set by the European Commission was that the bank will have to cut its balance sheet by almost half to ensure there are fewer risky investments on its books. As long as ING is tied to the government, it can't look at acquisitions as an avenue for growth. It also may not be able to take on risky investments, which otherwise could have garnered higher returns. Thus, the first thing it has to do is restructure its balance sheet.

Restructure the books
ING plans to do this by divesting its global insurance business and shrinking its exposure to debt-ridden countries. It recently concluded the divestment of its Latin American insurance wing for a net gain of nearly $1.26 billion. Next on the auction table could be its Asian insurance arm, which some analysts are valuing at a little more than $6 billion.

When it comes to reducing its exposure in debt-ridden countries, the bank reduced its exposure by some $5 billion last year, but it still has another $2.5 billion tied up in the troubled nations of Greece, Italy, Portugal, and Spain. So there is still a sizable portion of risk on its books.

The takeaway
2011 was a tough year for European banks, and there aren't too many indications that 2012 will be any better. Hommen expects markets to be "difficult" and "volatile" in 2012 as well. He thinks from 2013, ING will be able to maintain a core capital ratio of 10% and also use the excess capital in hand to repay the government. But 2013 is still a long way off and given the sovereign debt crisis, plenty could go wrong.

ING's earnings forecast doesn't look great, and it is also not paying out dividends. Shareholders may not enjoy it, but that may be the right move for the bank in the long term.

Source: http://us.rd.yahoo.com/dailynews/rss/business/*http%3A//news.yahoo.com/s/fool/20120119/bs_fool_fool/rx174982

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Rising factory output gives economy a lift

In this Dec. 14, 2011 photo, assembly line workers install dashboard air vents on a 2012 Ford Focus at the Ford Michigan Assembly plant in Wayne, Mich. U.S. factories roared to life in December, creating sharply more goods to meet strong demand for business equipment, materials, vehicles and energy. (AP Photo/Paul Sancya)

In this Dec. 14, 2011 photo, assembly line workers install dashboard air vents on a 2012 Ford Focus at the Ford Michigan Assembly plant in Wayne, Mich. U.S. factories roared to life in December, creating sharply more goods to meet strong demand for business equipment, materials, vehicles and energy. (AP Photo/Paul Sancya)

In this Dec. 14, 2011 photo, Ford Focus vehicles move on the assembly line at the Ford Michigan Assembly plant in Wayne, Mich. U.S. factories roared to life in December, creating sharply more goods to meet strong demand for business equipment, materials, vehicles and energy. (AP Photo/Paul Sancya)

In this Jan. 5, 2012 photo, a construction worker guides a rafter into position at a construction site, in Dayton, Ohio. U.S. homebuilders are growing less pessimistic about the housing market, despite tighter lending standards that have slowed home sales. (AP Photo/Al Behrman)

(AP) ? U.S. factories are roaring back from the depths of the recession, cranking out more machinery, vehicles and energy.

Factory production has surged 15 percent above its lows of 2? years ago and is helping drive the economy's recovery.

A jump in manufacturing output last month coincided with other data suggesting that the economy began 2012 with renewed vigor. Wholesale prices are tame. Demand for U.S. Treasury debt should help keep borrowing costs low. Even homebuilders are more optimistic.

Signs "that manufacturing in the U.S. is gaining global market share appears to be growing, and this could be an important dynamic supporting growth in 2012," said John Ryding of RDQ Economics.

Manufacturing rose 0.9 percent from November to December, the Federal Reserve said Wednesday. It was the biggest gain since December 2010.

Overall output at the nation's factories, mines and utilities grew 0.4 percent. Warm weather dampened demand for energy produced by utilities.

Over the past year, factory output has risen 3.7 percent. Factories benefited in particular in the second half of 2011 from several trends: People bought more cars. Businesses spent more on industrial machinery and computers before a tax incentive expired. And companies restocked their supplies after cutting them last summer.

Many economists say manufacturing output should expand further this year, though some expect the pace to slow mainly because of Europe's debt crisis.

Dan Meckstroth, chief economist at MAPI, a manufacturing research group, said there's still plenty of pent-up consumer demand for cars. That demand should keep production of cars and auto parts growing.

And high prices for oil, copper and other metals should boost growth in mining and drilling. That would lead to greater demand for drill pipes, large trucks used in mining and other gear, in the United States and overseas.

Another contributor to growth could be construction, which is showing signs of life as builders put up more apartments, office buildings and factories. That means construction firms need more manufactured goods, such as drywall, steel beams, glass and copper wires.

Last year's growth has also fueled more hiring. Factories added 23,000 jobs in December, the most since July. That helped reduce the unemployment rate to 8.5 percent, the lowest level in nearly three years.

Among the manufacturers faring better is Steris Corp., which makes sterilization equipment and other medical supplies. Hospitals and drug companies are buying more of the company's products.

Steris, based near Cleveland, says it has added 250 employees in the past 18 months and is still hiring. It has more than 5,000 employees globally, about half of them in the United States.

Steve Norton, a spokesman, said Steris has benefited from being part of a regional cluster of biomedical firms and research facilities. Some manufacturers in the region that once focused on auto parts are now also making components for medical devices, he noted.

"The Midwest continues to be a manufacturing leader," Norton said.

Still, Europe's debt crisis has begun to dampen demand for American exports. That trend, should it continue, could slow manufacturing and threaten growth this year.

That hasn't happened yet.

December's gains suggest the industry "is still resistant to the apparent slowdown in growth elsewhere, particularly in Europe," said Paul Ashworth, chief U.S. economist with Capital Economics.

Businesses are starting to see some relief from high energy and food prices, which should benefit consumers later this year.

The producer price index declined 0.1 percent in December, the Labor Department said. The index measures price changes before they reach consumers.

"Core" wholesale prices, which exclude food and energy costs, rose more sharply in December ? 0.3 percent. But economists downplayed the increase. They cited temporary factors that had pushed auto prices down in October and November.

Overall, wholesale prices are trending lower. They rose 4.8 percent in December compared with the same month a year ago, reflecting in part higher oil and other commodity prices. Even so, that was the slowest year-over-year increase since January.

Falling prices for oil and agricultural commodities have lowered the cost of food and energy. Gas prices have turned upward in recent months, but economists don't expect that to worsen inflation this year. That's because prices will likely be lower than last winter and spring, when political turmoil in North Africa and the Middle East sent prices up.

Lower wholesale costs mean manufacturers and retailers face less pressure to raise prices for consumers to maintain profits. That could keep consumer price inflation in check. Lower inflation also gives the Federal Reserve leeway to keep short-term interest rates low and take other steps, if necessary, to boost the economy.

Borrowing costs are likely to stay low next year, especially if U.S. Treasury debt remains in strong demand around the globe. That's because high demand for Treasurys drives their yields down. Those lower yields, in turn, help keep interest rates down on other loans throughout the economy.

Foreign holdings of U.S. Treasurys rose in November to a record $4.75 trillion, the Treasury Department said. U.S. government debt is still considered among the safest investments. And it has been in high demand as worries about Europe's debt crisis have intensified.

The dollar has strengthened in recent weeks, particularly against the euro. A stronger dollar makes imports cheaper and helps keep inflation in check.

In addition, lower rates on long-term Treasury debt tend to drive down mortgage rates. So far, super-low home-loan rates haven't given much life to the housing market. But they have made U.S. homebuilders slightly less pessimistic.

The National Association of Home Builders/Wells Fargo builder sentiment index rose in January for the fourth straight month, to its highest level since June 2007.

The reading remains far below levels that would suggest builders are optimistic about a turnaround. Homebuilders appear to be drawing optimism from rising interest among would-be buyers ? interest that builders hope will lead to higher sales.

___

AP Economics Writers Martin Crutsinger and Derek Kravitz contributed to this report.

Associated Press

Source: http://hosted2.ap.org/APDEFAULT/f70471f764144b2fab526d39972d37b3/Article_2012-01-18-Economy/id-573ec2f50b11481a9f53236c783e52af

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Thursday, January 19, 2012

US says it not to blame for failed Russian probe (AP)

WASHINGTON ? The State Department says the U.S. had nothing to do with the failure of the Mars moon probe that crashed to Earth this week, adding that U.S. officials responded to a Russian request to help recover it.

State Department spokeswoman Victoria Nuland said Wednesday the U.S. helped in efforts to re-establish contact with the spacecraft after it was stranded in Earth orbit.

She said that although the recovery efforts were unsuccessful, the U.S. also helped monitor the final orbits of the Phobos-Ground probe and its uncontrolled entry into the Earth's atmosphere.

Fragments of the probe showered into the South Pacific on Sunday. Russian media reported that investigators will examine whether a U.S. radar station could have inadvertently interfered with the probe. Experts say such claims are far-fetched.

Source: http://us.rd.yahoo.com/dailynews/rss/russia/*http%3A//news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20120119/ap_on_go_ca_st_pe/us_us_russia_falling_spacecraft

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Feisty Sarkozy shrugs off French credit downgrade (AP)

MADRID ? French President Nicolas Sarkozy bluntly declared Monday that a harsh downgrade by Standard & Poor's of France's formerly top-rung debt rating "changes nothing" for the eurozone's No. 2 economy.

Sarkozy, in a testy exchange with a journalist at a Madrid news conference, suggested that a solid investor demand for a French debt auction Monday and a reaffirmation from rival ratings agency Moody's of France's triple-A sovereign debt had offset S&P's much-publicized downgrade.

"We have to react to this with calm, by taking a step back," he told reporters during a visit with Spain's new prime minister, Mariano Rajoy. "At the core, my conviction is that it changes nothing."

The S&P downgrade Friday ? which Sarkozy's own finance minister called "bad news" ? came just 100 days before the president faces what is expected to be a tough re-election campaign.

The news conference began combatively when Sarkozy refused to answer a question about whether France's downgrade would affect its ability to lead Europe out of the crisis ? and if the move prompted the postponement of a crisis summit for him and the leaders of Germany and Italy next week.

Sarkozy and German Chancellor Angela Merkel have taken the lead in proposing solutions to the crisis and major decisions are often hashed out at their meetings ahead of European summits.

"You don't have the latest information," Sarkozy retorted to a reporter who asked about the downgrade and the summit. Sarkozy refused to answer even after the reporter rephrased his question twice.

The French leader later confirmed that the three-way summit would take place in February and downplayed the S&P downgrade, but never gave a clear answer as to why the summit was rescheduled.

Sarkozy did manage to win much-needed political support from Rajoy ? notably for his pet project for a financial transaction tax that could help ailing European state coffers get out of the red.

France, which has long enjoyed relatively low borrowing costs and had S&P's top-tier AAA rating uninterrupted since the mid-1970s, on Friday was the largest of nine eurozone members hit by S&P downgrades ? dropping one notch to AA+. The agency also kept a negative outlook on French state debt.

Analysts said Sarkozy's denial that the downgrade meant much was wishful thinking.

"The fact that there is a negative outlook, it means that there is a probability ? a quite high probability ? of further downgrade in 2012, 2013," said French economist Norbert Gaillard. "So it's bad news for France."

But in a vindication of sorts for Sarkozy, France sold euro8.6 billion ($10.9 billion) in short-term debt on Monday. The yields ? or the interest rates charged by investors on the debt ? fell, a sign investors still see the country as a good bet.

Spain was also hit by an S&P downgrade, from AA- to A+, but Rajoy said that blow and downgrades for other European nations shouldn't be seen as a sign they will have trouble emerging from the financial crisis.

Rajoy's Socialist predecessor also supported the financial transaction tax, but Jose Luis Rodriguez Zapatero was ousted from office by Spaniards angry about the country's hurting economy and high unemployment.

The European Commission has estimated that the tax could raise as much as euro57 billion ($72.2 billion) a year, funds that could be used to help reduce the substantial budget deficits crippling European economies.

Moody's cited France's economic strength as a reason for affirming its top rating, but said bleak growth prospects in France and the region present "risks to the French government's fiscal consolidation plans."

Moody's said it would again review French debt later in the first quarter as part of a broader look at sovereign debt within the EU ? meaning a decision is likely close to France's two-round presidential vote in April and May.

Sarkozy's challengers for the presidency ? including Socialist nominee Francois Hollande ? have seized on the S&P downgrade as evidence that his policies are wrong-headed and ineffective.

It will be a bruising election battle for Sarkozy, a dynamic leader who has a strong international profile but is widely disliked at home. Leftists say he has coddled the rich, while many of those who supported him in his 2007 campaign say he hasn't fulfilled his promises.

And Hollande is currently leading in the polls.

___

Angela Charlton and Sarah DiLorenzo in Paris, and Alan Clendenning in Madrid contributed to this report.

Source: http://us.rd.yahoo.com/dailynews/rss/europe/*http%3A//news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20120116/ap_on_bi_ge/eu_france_financial_crisis

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Wednesday, January 18, 2012

UFC 142?s Three Stars: Aldo, Barboza and Palhares

Brazil provided another picturesque setting for a UFC card dominated by Brazilian favorites. Even our Three Stars is filled with fighters from a country so important to MMA. Who are your Three Stars from UFC 142? Tell us in the comments or on Facebook.

No. 1 star -- Jose Aldo: With a swift, well-deployed knee, Aldo showed again that he is the cream of the the featherweight crop. He then brought the celebration to the jubilant crowd in Rio de Janeiro, creating a memorable moment for every fan at UFC 142 and a headache for UFC security. Can you blame him for the euphoria? Starting with the WEC featherweight championship, Aldo has held his belt for 26 months and five title defenses. A man that dominant in his division is allowed to celebrate with his fans.

No. 2 star -- Edson Barboza: From his three previous fights in the UFC, we knew that Barboza was capable of debilitating kicks. No one -- particularly Terry Etim -- expected him to throw a spinning wheel kick, executed so perfectly that Etim was out well before he hit the canvas. He won both Knockout of the Night and Fight of the Night bonuses for that performance, and something tells me that he's an early favorite for Knockout of the Year awards.

No. 3 star -- Rousimar Palhares: Any fighter preparing for Palhares knows that he is a heel hook master, with the majority of his submission wins coming that one hold. Mike Massenzio knew the heel hook was looming, but couldn't stay out of Palhares' grip. For submitting Massenzio in just over a minute, Palhares won Submission of the Night.

Source: http://sports.yahoo.com/blogs/mma-cagewriter/ufc-142-three-stars-aldo-barboza-palhares-150507547.html

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Amazing planets: mini solar system, 'Star Wars' lookalike among new finds

The catalogue of newly found planets is becoming richer by the day. By one new estimate, virtually all the billions of stars in the Milky Way could have a planet orbiting them.

Planets orbiting other stars may be a dime a dozen in the Milky Way, but cheap hardly means boring.

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From a new pair of planets like Tatooine of "Star Wars" fame, each with its own pair of suns, to a trio of small rocky planets zipping around a red-dwarf star, the cosmos presents a breathtaking plethora of planetary systems. A new estimate suggests that the Milky Way's population of planets exceeds 100 billion.

These are among the planet-hunting highlights from this week's winter meeting of the American Astronomical Society in Austin, Texas.

The ultimate goal is to find Earth-size planets orbiting in a star's habitable zone ? the place?where a planet, with the right atmosphere, can host water as liquid, ice, and gas on its surface.

While no Earth-scale planets in this Goldilocks zone have yet appeared, "these latest observations make it extremely likely that Earth-scale planets in the habitable zone exist, probably in large numbers," says Philip Armitage, an astrophysicist at the University of Colorado at Boulder.

Three results highlighted at the meeting speak volumes about how far researchers have come in the 16 years since astronomers detected the first exoplanet orbiting a sun-like star.

Between 600 and 700 extrasolar planets have been confirmed, depending on which online catalog keeps tally. NASA's Kepler mission has accounted for 35 of these, with another 2,326 "planet candidates" awaiting evaluation.

Yet this number pales beside an estimate offered by a research team that presented its results at the meeting and in the Jan. 12 issue of the journal Nature.

Based on a six-year survey of stars using a technique known as gravitational lensing, in which an intervening star's gravity magnifies the light from a star far behind it, the team estimates that 17 percent of all stars in the galaxy host a planet of Jupiter's mass or greater. About 52 percent of stars host Neptune-class planets, while 62 percent host so-called super Earths.

Given the trend toward higher numbers of lower-mass planets, "statistically, every star in the galaxy should have at least one planet, and probably more," according to Kailash Sahu, a researcher a the Hubble Space Telescope Institute in Baltimore and a member of the research team.

Source: http://rss.csmonitor.com/~r/feeds/science/~3/dId8Q66DhqI/Amazing-planets-mini-solar-system-Star-Wars-lookalike-among-new-finds

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